I’m Playing Lottery Numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Last night’s lottery ticket numbers were 11-12-19-30-53-04. Recognize that the odds of that series of numbers coming up are equal to the odds that 01-02-03-04-05-06 would be drawn instead.

But, you protest, you’ve never seen a lottery where the winning numbers were 01-02-03-04-05-06, to which I counter that you’ve also never seen a lottery, before now, where the winning numbers were 11-12-19-30-53-04.

Likewise, because you saw a picky, overly-specific question on an ARE exam, does not mean that memorizing picky, overly-specific details will help you on your next test, precisely because it is so unlikely that you will memorize the exact picky, overly-specific topic that will be included in the next test.

The Architect’s Handbook of Professional Practice, MEEB, and Fundamentals of Building Construction are 4,000 pages in total! Unless you have information that something should be memorized (and, to be clear, some things should be memorized for these exams. . . . I’m looking at you, concrete types) there is no reason to just start memorizing material scattershot in the expectation that you will be tested on that topic.

It’d be like playing 01-02-03-04-05-06 on the lottery. Sure your numbers could win, but they won’t.

Posted by

Comments are closed.